Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | CAM -300 PRES +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +17 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -9.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -8.1 (+8.9) | 131.9 (-0.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -8.0 (+9.0) | 129.2 (+1.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -8.1 (+8.9) | 132.4 (-1.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -7.4 (+9.6) | 132.3 (-1.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2023 | CAM 68 – 63 PRES |
| Dec 29, 2022 | PRES 82 – 72 CAM |
| Mar 3, 2022 | CAM 75 – 72 PRES |
| Feb 3, 2022 | PRES 64 – 58 CAM |
| Jan 16, 2021 | CAM 73 – 51 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 1-17 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-10 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#235) | -10.2 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#260) | -3.05 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#255) | -3.22 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#258) | 0.350 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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