Gaga googa ga ga googa ga ga goo ga ga "Night of the Thumpasaurus People" - Parliament
Campbell Fighting Camels
68 – 63
FINAL Neutral Conference Hercules Tires Big South
Presbyterian Blue Hose
Big South Conference · Bojangles Coliseum (Neutral) · March 2, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -5.5 Away covered
O/U 127.5 Over
Money CAM -250 / PRES +188
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual CAM +5 131 Won
Massey CAM -7.5 (-2.5) — —
Massey Totals — 127.7 (+3.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 90% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CAM -7.6 (-2.6) 131.0 (-0.0) 79% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAM -6.1 (-1.1) 128.6 (+2.4) 76% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -7.7 (-2.7) 132.0 (-1.0) 79% ✓
Baseline ML CAM -7.2 (-2.2) 132.5 (-1.5) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 18, 2023 CAM 74 – 57 PRES
Dec 29, 2022 PRES 82 – 72 CAM
Mar 3, 2022 CAM 75 – 72 PRES
Feb 3, 2022 PRES 64 – 58 CAM
Jan 16, 2021 CAM 73 – 51 PRES

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CAM PRES
Overall 16-18 5-27
Conference 8-10 1-17
Home 8-6 5-9
Away 4-10 0-15
Neutral 4-2 0-3
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L18
Avg Pts For 68.7 61.8
Avg Pts Against 69.0 70.4
Massey -3.6 (#228) -11.1 (#336)
Bradley-Terry -0.98 (#265) -3.11 (#360)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.08 (#255) -3.27 (#359)
RPI 0.460 (#261) 0.352 (#363)
Shooting & Four Factors CAM PRES
FG% 45.8% 41.5%
3PT% 32.7% 31.0%
REB / G 31.1 32.0
OREB / G 7.5 10.2
AST / TO 1.01 0.76
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.3% 47.1%
TOV% 18.4% 20.7%
ORB% 23.8% 29.9%
FT Rate 26.0% 22.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 54.1%
Opp TOV% 18.3% 18.6%
DRB% 73.0% 70.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.3% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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