Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | UND +210 NDSU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +17 | 107 | Lost |
| Massey | NDSU -4.7 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -5.1 (-11.9) | 131.3 (-24.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -4.2 (-12.8) | 130.1 (-23.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -4.5 (-12.5) | 131.7 (-24.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -3.9 (-13.1) | 132.2 (-25.2) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NDSU 70 – 62 UND |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NDSU 96 – 63 UND |
| Feb 14, 2026 | NDSU 83 – 66 UND |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UND 79 – 77 NDSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NDSU 87 – 82 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-17 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 11-5 |
| Home | 5-3 | 6-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#280) | 0.2 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#287) | -0.22 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.68 (#299) | -0.44 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#262) | 0.505 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 79.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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