Betting Lines
| Spread | USA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | USA -110 APP +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APP +6 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | USA -3.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USA -2.8 (-8.8) | 142.5 (+17.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USA -2.5 (-8.5) | 136.9 (+23.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USA -2.8 (-8.8) | 139.2 (+20.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USA -2.7 (-8.7) | 142.8 (+17.2) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | APP 65 – 57 USA |
| Jan 5, 2024 | APP 91 – 84 USA |
| Mar 2, 2023 | USA 68 – 61 APP |
| Feb 11, 2023 | USA 74 – 57 APP |
| Feb 19, 2022 | APP 69 – 51 USA |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.