Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | EIU +100 EKU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +8 | 178 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -4.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (+20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -2.2 (-5.8) | 155.2 (+22.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -4.1 (-3.9) | 153.3 (+24.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -3.5 (-4.5) | 153.4 (+24.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -2.7 (-5.3) | 157.5 (+20.5) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2025 | EKU 68 – 59 EIU |
| Dec 15, 2024 | EKU 81 – 66 EIU |
| Nov 23, 2021 | EKU 82 – 43 EIU |
| Dec 31, 2020 | EKU 69 – 61 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-18 | 22-7 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 15-5 |
| Home | 5-7 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#273) | 0.9 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#251) | 1.18 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#253) | 1.00 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#266) | 0.539 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 26.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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