Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | EKU -1200 EIU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +39 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -18.5 (+20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -14.8 (+24.2) | 139.0 (-14.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -13.1 (+25.9) | 141.6 (-16.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -15.2 (+23.8) | 142.2 (-17.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -14.9 (+24.1) | 144.8 (-19.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2025 | EKU 68 – 59 EIU |
| Dec 15, 2024 | EKU 81 – 66 EIU |
| Jan 16, 2021 | EKU 93 – 85 EIU |
| Dec 31, 2020 | EKU 69 – 61 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#182) | -11.8 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#111) | -2.55 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#59) | -3.26 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#219) | 0.359 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 34.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 40.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 25.4% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 17.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 11.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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