The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Groniger Arena · December 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread EKU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Under
Money EIU +220 / EKU -270
Model Predictions
Spread Total EIU win
Actual EKU +9 127 Lost
Massey EIU -0.1 (-9.1)
Massey Totals 152.6 (-25.6)
Bradley-Terry 84%
Weighted B-T 92%
Efficiency Plus ML EKU -0.4 (-8.6) 144.3 (-17.3) 43%
Baseline Tuned ML EIU -1.2 (-10.2) 144.0 (-17.0) 51%
Baseline ML EIU -1.2 (-10.2) 144.5 (-17.5) 38%
Baseline Plus ML EIU -2.2 (-11.2) 143.7 (-16.7) 45%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 15, 2024 EKU 8166 EIU
Nov 23, 2021 EKU 8243 EIU
Jan 16, 2021 EKU 9385 EIU
Dec 31, 2020 EKU 6961 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EIU EKU
Overall 13-20 11-21
Conference 8-12 7-11
Home 9-6 8-7
Away 3-13 3-13
Neutral 1-1 0-1
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 64.6 77.5
Avg Pts Against 72.2 83.1
Massey -11.7 (#329) -7.1 (#283)
Bradley-Terry -1.96 (#313) -2.69 (#338)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.52 (#304) -3.92 (#339)
RPI 0.404 (#318) 0.465 (#235)
Shooting & Four Factors EIU EKU
FG% 39.9% 40.7%
3PT% 27.7% 30.9%
REB / G 28.4 36.4
OREB / G 8.4 12.7
AST / TO 0.78 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.3% 48.2%
TOV% 20.1% 18.2%
ORB% 24.6% 31.1%
FT Rate 26.5% 20.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.8% 56.6%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 14.1%
DRB% 59.1% 67.2%
Opp FT Rate 24.5% 28.8%

Game Analysis

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