Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | EKU -550 EIU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +15 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -11.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -10.8 (+4.2) | 140.9 (+6.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -9.3 (+5.7) | 140.7 (+6.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -10.0 (+5.0) | 141.1 (+5.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -9.8 (+5.2) | 142.1 (+4.9) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2025 | EKU 68 – 59 EIU |
| Nov 23, 2021 | EKU 82 – 43 EIU |
| Jan 16, 2021 | EKU 93 – 85 EIU |
| Dec 31, 2020 | EKU 69 – 61 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#182) | -8.6 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#184) | -1.38 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#160) | -1.66 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#168) | 0.450 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.0% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 35.3% |
Game Analysis
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