Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Under |
| Money | EKU -165 EIU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +8 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -8.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (-27.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -5.3 (+2.7) | 151.6 (-21.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -5.5 (+2.5) | 154.0 (-24.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -5.8 (+2.2) | 154.0 (-24.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -4.7 (+3.3) | 153.6 (-23.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2025 | EKU 68 – 59 EIU |
| Dec 15, 2024 | EKU 81 – 66 EIU |
| Nov 23, 2021 | EKU 82 – 43 EIU |
| Jan 16, 2021 | EKU 93 – 85 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-7 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-2 | 5-7 |
| Away | 9-4 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#132) | -2.8 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#206) | -0.78 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#213) | -1.17 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#216) | 0.443 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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