Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -3300 VAN +1900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +20 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -23.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -19.4 (+0.6) | 138.3 (+3.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -16.4 (+3.6) | 136.5 (+5.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -19.9 (+0.1) | 138.9 (+3.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -20.7 (-0.7) | 138.8 (+3.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | VAN 75 – 68 TENN |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VAN 86 – 82 TENN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | TENN 69 – 65 VAN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TENN 81 – 76 VAN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VAN 76 – 75 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 3-13 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-4 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.5 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 20.3 (#4) | -0.5 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#12) | -0.97 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.73 (#10) | -0.87 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#22) | 0.406 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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