Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU -333 ALST +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +7 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -23.9 (-16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -16.1 (-9.1) | 145.5 (-12.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -14.4 (-7.4) | 139.5 (-6.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -12.0 (-5.0) | 143.0 (-10.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -15.8 (-8.8) | 144.3 (-11.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ALST 89 – 88 AAMU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | AAMU 73 – 69 ALST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | ALST 94 – 52 AAMU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | ALST 69 – 65 AAMU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | AAMU 58 – 53 ALST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-9 | 4-14 |
| Conference | 4-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 5-2 | 3-6 |
| Away | 1-7 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#157) | -20.7 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#51) | -3.30 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#59) | -5.41 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#68) | 0.240 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 23.9% | 24.9% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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