Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG +140 WIS -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +6 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -1.9 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -0.1 (-6.1) | 139.4 (-25.4) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -0.9 (-5.1) | 134.1 (-20.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -0.4 (-6.4) | 140.7 (-26.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -0.2 (-5.8) | 139.6 (-25.6) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | WIS 96 – 87 RUTG |
| Jan 7, 2025 | WIS 75 – 63 RUTG |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WIS 78 – 66 RUTG |
| Feb 10, 2024 | RUTG 78 – 56 WIS |
| Feb 18, 2023 | RUTG 58 – 57 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#53) | 14.5 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#38) | 2.76 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.43 (#34) | 4.35 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#49) | 0.615 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 12.4% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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