Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -300 UNF +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -7.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -6.1 (-11.1) | 141.2 (-2.2) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -5.3 (-10.3) | 142.8 (-3.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -7.7 (-12.7) | 141.0 (-2.0) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -6.1 (-11.1) | 139.9 (-0.9) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIP 100 – 94 UNF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIP 82 – 74 UNF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | LIP 96 – 64 UNF |
| Feb 1, 2024 | UNF 85 – 76 LIP |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UNF 114 – 111 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 8-15 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 6-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 5-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#228) | -8.7 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#203) | -1.62 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#193) | -1.99 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#194) | 0.432 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 5.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 24.9% |
| ORB% | 18.0% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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