Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MINN +220 MICH -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +18 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -4.7 (+22.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -2.7 (+20.7) | 147.4 (-15.4) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -1.1 (+19.1) | 145.8 (-13.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -0.4 (+18.4) | 148.0 (-16.0) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -1.0 (+19.0) | 147.4 (-15.4) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MICH 77 – 67 MINN |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MINN 84 – 81 MICH |
| Jan 5, 2024 | MINN 73 – 71 MICH |
| Jan 22, 2023 | MICH 60 – 56 MINN |
| Dec 9, 2022 | MICH 90 – 75 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-15 | 23-5 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 14-3 |
| Home | 13-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 0-10 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 65.1 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#36) | 19.2 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#20) | 4.64 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.43 (#14) | 6.85 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#18) | 0.693 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 52.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 59.0% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.