Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK -163 LEH +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -0.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -1.0 (+4.0) | 140.6 (+4.4) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -1.8 (+3.2) | 139.9 (+5.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -1.1 (+3.9) | 142.1 (+2.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -1.3 (+3.7) | 141.1 (+3.9) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LEH 89 – 79 BUCK |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BUCK 72 – 65 LEH |
| Feb 18, 2025 | BUCK 67 – 50 LEH |
| Jan 3, 2025 | LEH 66 – 64 BUCK |
| Feb 13, 2024 | LEH 71 – 63 BUCK |
Game Analysis
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