Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -3300 HC +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +40 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -23.6 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -21.4 (+18.6) | 151.5 (-1.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -18.8 (+21.2) | 155.3 (-5.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -23.1 (+16.9) | 152.9 (-2.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -22.4 (+17.6) | 152.6 (-2.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | COLG 74 – 70 HC |
| Jan 29, 2026 | COLG 79 – 74 HC |
| Feb 27, 2025 | COLG 81 – 73 HC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | COLG 87 – 65 HC |
| Mar 8, 2024 | COLG 81 – 64 HC |
Game Analysis
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