Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -300 STAN +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +13 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -11.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -10.6 (+2.4) | 138.8 (+2.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -10.8 (+2.2) | 137.3 (+3.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -11.4 (+1.6) | 139.1 (+1.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -10.6 (+2.4) | 139.6 (+1.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | STAN 77 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 4, 2024 | COLO 81 – 71 STAN |
| Feb 6, 2023 | COLO 84 – 62 STAN |
| Dec 30, 2022 | COLO 73 – 70 STAN |
| Feb 20, 2022 | COLO 70 – 53 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-1 | 5-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 18.1 (#8) | 9.2 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#27) | 1.76 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.89 (#27) | 2.58 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#16) | 0.602 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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