Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M +180 MIZ -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +16 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | MIZ -7.7 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -5.2 (-10.8) | 129.8 (-9.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -3.4 (-12.6) | 130.3 (-10.3) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -4.5 (-11.5) | 129.9 (-9.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -4.8 (-11.2) | 129.6 (-9.6) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MIZ 86 – 85 TA&M |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TA&M 67 – 64 MIZ |
| Feb 8, 2024 | TA&M 79 – 60 MIZ |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TA&M 63 – 57 MIZ |
| Feb 18, 2023 | TA&M 69 – 60 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-10 | 16-10 |
| Conference | 2-8 | 8-8 |
| Home | 6-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-4 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#129) | 12.8 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#73) | 3.06 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#87) | 4.05 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#113) | 0.682 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 24.5% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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