Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -156 BELL +132 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +14 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -6.0 (-20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (+2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -4.7 (-18.7) | 136.7 (-2.7) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -4.7 (-18.7) | 133.3 (+0.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -2.0 (-16.0) | 136.8 (-2.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -3.9 (-17.9) | 136.8 (-2.8) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BELL 81 – 65 FGCU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | FGCU 80 – 61 BELL |
| Jan 23, 2025 | FGCU 77 – 61 BELL |
| Feb 11, 2024 | FGCU 63 – 52 BELL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BELL 61 – 41 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-8 | 14-8 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 10-3 |
| Home | 7-4 | 6-4 |
| Away | 2-2 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#216) | -6.4 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#143) | -2.02 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#168) | -2.31 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#189) | 0.376 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 41.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 28.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 24.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 13.6% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 60.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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