Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | RGV -250 UTU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +33 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | RGV -7.9 (+25.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -6.7 (+26.3) | 143.5 (-12.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -8.4 (+24.6) | 143.4 (-12.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -5.7 (+27.3) | 146.3 (-15.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -6.6 (+26.4) | 145.0 (-14.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2024 | UTU 79 – 74 RGV |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UTU 81 – 64 RGV |
| Feb 24, 2023 | UTU 88 – 81 RGV |
| Dec 30, 2022 | UTU 81 – 66 RGV |
| Jan 23, 2022 | UTU 85 – 74 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-10 | 8-13 |
| Conference | 2-5 | 4-10 |
| Home | 8-3 | 5-7 |
| Away | 1-5 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#264) | -11.1 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#200) | -1.34 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#205) | -2.69 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#190) | 0.444 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.0% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.0% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.1% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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