Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | RGV +188 UTU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | UTU -1.7 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTU -2.1 (-2.9) | 146.0 (+7.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -2.1 (-2.9) | 146.2 (+6.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -1.8 (-3.2) | 146.5 (+6.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -1.8 (-3.2) | 146.1 (+6.9) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2024 | UTU 81 – 64 RGV |
| Feb 24, 2023 | UTU 88 – 81 RGV |
| Dec 30, 2022 | UTU 81 – 66 RGV |
| Jan 23, 2022 | UTU 85 – 74 RGV |
| Jan 17, 2021 | RGV 72 – 65 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 7-13 |
| Home | 5-9 | 6-7 |
| Away | 1-13 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L14 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.7 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -11.8 (#331) | -6.9 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#332) | -0.98 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.68 (#338) | -1.10 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#342) | 0.446 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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