Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | RGV -450 UTU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | RGV -14.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -11.8 (-4.8) | 141.4 (-4.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -11.2 (-4.2) | 142.7 (-5.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -12.0 (-5.0) | 142.5 (-5.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -11.5 (-4.5) | 143.6 (-6.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2024 | UTU 79 – 74 RGV |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UTU 81 – 64 RGV |
| Feb 24, 2023 | UTU 88 – 81 RGV |
| Dec 30, 2022 | UTU 81 – 66 RGV |
| Jan 23, 2022 | UTU 85 – 74 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-10 | 8-13 |
| Conference | 2-5 | 4-10 |
| Home | 8-3 | 5-7 |
| Away | 1-5 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#217) | -14.4 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#179) | -1.63 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#184) | -3.02 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#182) | 0.430 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.7% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.8% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.3% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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