Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -150 YSU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +7 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -0.9 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -0.6 (+6.4) | 156.3 (-1.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -0.5 (+7.5) | 150.4 (+4.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -0.5 (+7.5) | 152.9 (+2.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -0.9 (+6.1) | 156.2 (-1.2) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | YSU 86 – 82 OAK |
| Jan 1, 2026 | OAK 85 – 83 YSU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | YSU 84 – 75 OAK |
| Dec 7, 2024 | YSU 66 – 50 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2024 | OAK 70 – 67 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 5-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-11 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#309) | -6.1 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#278) | -0.43 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#266) | -0.99 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#182) | 0.484 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.0% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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