Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +7 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -14.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -13.6 (-6.6) | 153.4 (+13.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -11.1 (-4.1) | 154.6 (+12.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -14.0 (-7.0) | 154.4 (+12.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -13.6 (-6.6) | 152.7 (+14.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2021 | SHSU 83 – 70 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-9 | 6-19 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 4-11 |
| Home | 12-1 | 4-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 81.1 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#172) | -12.1 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#81) | -2.82 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#94) | -4.29 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#43) | 0.380 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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