Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | HCU +500 SHSU -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +13 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -9.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -9.6 (-3.4) | 153.0 (+0.0) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -8.0 (-5.0) | 154.1 (-1.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -9.5 (-3.5) | 154.8 (-1.8) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -9.2 (-3.8) | 153.6 (-0.6) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2021 | SHSU 87 – 80 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-19 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 4-11 | 13-3 |
| Home | 4-6 | 12-1 |
| Away | 1-12 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.1 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -12.6 (#330) | -0.5 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.69 (#335) | 0.71 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.46 (#336) | 0.52 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#317) | 0.564 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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