Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | FAU -138 FIU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +44 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -1.4 (+45.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (+18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -1.0 (+43.0) | 145.3 (+24.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -1.6 (+42.4) | 144.3 (+25.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -2.1 (+41.9) | 145.5 (+24.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -0.7 (+43.3) | 144.7 (+25.3) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2024 | FAU 88 – 77 FIU |
| Dec 14, 2023 | FAU 94 – 60 FIU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | FAU 77 – 73 FIU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | FAU 79 – 53 FIU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | FAU 84 – 76 FIU |
Game Analysis
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