I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
Abessinio Court at Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena · December 14, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread FAU -23.0 Home covered
O/U 154.0 Under
Money FAU -4000 / FIU +1450
Model Predictions
Spread Total FAU win
Actual FAU +34 154 Won
Massey FAU -25.2 (+8.8)
Massey Totals 155.5 (-1.5)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML FAU -25.1 (+8.9) 153.3 (+0.7) 91%
Baseline ML FAU -24.2 (+9.8) 153.7 (+0.3) 91%
Baseline Tuned ML FAU -22.7 (+11.3) 153.2 (+0.8) 91%
Efficiency Plus ML FAU -23.3 (+10.7) 152.1 (+1.9) 90%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 4, 2024 FAU 8877 FIU
Jan 12, 2023 FAU 7773 FIU
Dec 17, 2022 FAU 7953 FIU
Mar 5, 2022 FAU 8476 FIU
Mar 4, 2022 FAU 7151 FIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FAU FIU
Overall 25-9 11-22
Conference 14-4 5-11
Home 13-1 9-6
Away 5-5 1-12
Neutral 7-3 1-4
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 82.0 71.3
Avg Pts Against 73.4 77.2
Massey 14.8 (#11) -5.5 (#276)
Bradley-Terry 2.10 (#36) -1.86 (#312)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.95 (#36) -2.09 (#301)
RPI 0.648 (#12) 0.406 (#309)
Shooting & Four Factors FAU FIU
FG% 50.5% 44.0%
3PT% 38.5% 29.9%
REB / G 36.9 30.9
OREB / G 10.7 11.1
AST / TO 1.42 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.9% 50.0%
TOV% 15.5% 22.0%
ORB% 33.0% 30.2%
FT Rate 24.8% 19.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.0% 54.9%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 27.4%
DRB% 71.1% 61.9%
Opp FT Rate 20.7% 29.7%

Game Analysis

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