That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
Conference USA · Abessinio Court at Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena · December 17, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread FAU -14.5 Home covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money FAU -1200 / FIU +900
Model Predictions
Spread Total FAU win
Actual FAU +26 132 Won
Massey FAU -26.7 (-0.7)
Massey Totals 146.4 (-14.4)
Bradley-Terry 100%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML FAU -20.1 (+5.9) 148.7 (-16.7) 90%
Baseline ML FAU -21.1 (+4.9) 148.0 (-16.0) 90%
Baseline Tuned ML FAU -18.9 (+7.1) 148.1 (-16.1) 91%
Efficiency Plus ML FAU -20.5 (+5.5) 149.7 (-17.7) 90%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 4, 2024 FAU 8877 FIU
Dec 14, 2023 FAU 9460 FIU
Jan 12, 2023 FAU 7773 FIU
Mar 5, 2022 FAU 8476 FIU
Mar 4, 2022 FAU 7151 FIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FAU FIU
Overall 35-4 14-18
Conference 18-2 8-12
Home 17-0 11-7
Away 11-3 3-10
Neutral 7-1 0-1
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.2 72.5
Avg Pts Against 65.6 75.5
Massey 14.7 (#12) -6.9 (#296)
Bradley-Terry 2.34 (#28) -2.29 (#328)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.79 (#41) -3.13 (#330)
RPI 0.615 (#33) 0.360 (#351)
Shooting & Four Factors FAU FIU
FG% 49.5% 47.2%
3PT% 41.4% 28.2%
REB / G 39.1 34.6
OREB / G 10.6 9.1
AST / TO 1.41 0.84
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.7% 52.3%
TOV% 16.1% 21.0%
ORB% 30.6% 26.1%
FT Rate 14.2% 17.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.7% 52.6%
Opp TOV% 18.3% 22.9%
DRB% 73.5% 68.9%
Opp FT Rate 21.1% 18.6%

Game Analysis

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