Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | LR -200 TXST +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +4 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | LR -7.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -5.7 (-9.7) | 140.9 (-18.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -5.5 (-9.5) | 134.2 (-12.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -4.7 (-8.7) | 138.4 (-16.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LR -5.4 (-9.4) | 140.3 (-18.3) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | TXST 65 – 56 LR |
| Nov 7, 2023 | LR 71 – 66 TXST |
| Feb 19, 2022 | TXST 68 – 50 LR |
| Jan 21, 2022 | TXST 69 – 59 LR |
| Feb 6, 2021 | TXST 77 – 67 LR |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.