Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | TXST -150 LR +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +10 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | TXST -2.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (+16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -3.5 (+6.5) | 122.8 (+21.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -3.4 (+6.6) | 127.7 (+16.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -3.3 (+6.7) | 129.4 (+14.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -4.7 (+5.3) | 129.1 (+14.9) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | TXST 65 – 56 LR |
| Nov 7, 2023 | LR 71 – 66 TXST |
| Feb 19, 2022 | TXST 68 – 50 LR |
| Jan 21, 2022 | TXST 69 – 59 LR |
| Feb 5, 2021 | TXST 57 – 47 LR |
Game Analysis
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