Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | TXST -120 LR +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +10 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | TXST -1.8 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (-27.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -3.1 (+6.9) | 124.0 (-20.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -3.2 (+6.8) | 128.7 (-24.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -2.8 (+7.2) | 130.3 (-26.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -3.7 (+6.3) | 129.8 (-25.8) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | TXST 65 – 56 LR |
| Nov 7, 2023 | LR 71 – 66 TXST |
| Feb 19, 2022 | TXST 68 – 50 LR |
| Jan 21, 2022 | TXST 69 – 59 LR |
| Feb 6, 2021 | TXST 77 – 67 LR |
Game Analysis
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