Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Over |
| Money | CLT +130 UAB -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +15 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -10.3 (+25.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -5.8 (+20.8) | 127.2 (-2.2) | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -6.0 (+21.0) | 122.9 (+2.1) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -6.3 (+21.3) | 127.5 (-2.5) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -6.4 (+21.4) | 123.6 (+1.4) | 24% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CLT 83 – 78 UAB |
| Mar 5, 2026 | UAB 80 – 74 CLT |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UAB 96 – 78 CLT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | CLT 76 – 70 UAB |
| Mar 4, 2023 | UAB 93 – 91 CLT |
Game Analysis
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