Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -163 PFW +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +9 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -9.2 (-18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -7.8 (-16.8) | 149.2 (+3.8) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -7.6 (-16.6) | 147.5 (+5.5) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -10.2 (-19.2) | 149.6 (+3.4) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -8.0 (-17.0) | 150.9 (+2.1) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | PFW 100 – 82 MILW |
| Dec 30, 2025 | MILW 77 – 55 PFW |
| Feb 2, 2025 | PFW 81 – 79 MILW |
| Jan 9, 2025 | PFW 78 – 73 MILW |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MILW 96 – 88 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-12 | 8-15 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 4-5 | 5-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#123) | -3.6 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#152) | -0.84 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#135) | -1.22 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#181) | 0.431 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 51.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 42.4% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 59.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 25.6% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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