Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | HAW -142 CSUB +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +5 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -10.5 (-15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-31.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -7.5 (-12.5) | 145.3 (-30.3) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -5.1 (-10.1) | 139.4 (-24.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -6.4 (-11.4) | 142.1 (-27.1) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -7.6 (-12.6) | 144.3 (-29.3) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | HAW 89 – 74 CSUB |
| Jan 23, 2026 | HAW 98 – 71 CSUB |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CSUB 76 – 64 HAW |
| Jan 19, 2025 | HAW 81 – 70 CSUB |
| Mar 10, 2024 | HAW 74 – 57 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-10 | 15-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-7 |
| Home | 7-5 | 9-2 |
| Away | 4-4 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#71) | -0.2 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#137) | 0.29 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#115) | 0.74 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#76) | 0.498 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 15.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 42.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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