Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | PITT +180 SYR -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +20 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -1.6 (+21.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+30.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -2.0 (+18.0) | 140.1 (+31.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -2.3 (+17.7) | 144.5 (+27.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -0.8 (+19.2) | 145.7 (+26.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -1.4 (+18.6) | 141.2 (+30.8) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PITT 71 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SYR 83 – 72 PITT |
| Feb 19, 2025 | PITT 80 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PITT 77 – 73 SYR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | SYR 69 – 58 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-12 | 18-10 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 9-7 |
| Home | 7-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-5 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#72) | 11.7 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#46) | 1.46 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#79) | 1.98 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#86) | 0.568 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 42.8 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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