Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | DSU +450 NORF -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +11 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -15.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -11.2 (+0.2) | 146.4 (+16.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -7.8 (-3.2) | 145.7 (+17.3) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -12.1 (+1.1) | 150.6 (+12.4) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -12.0 (+1.0) | 150.0 (+13.0) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NORF 75 – 58 DSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NORF 66 – 64 DSU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NORF 96 – 84 DSU |
| Jan 6, 2025 | NORF 73 – 64 DSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DSU 85 – 71 NORF |
Game Analysis
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