Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | CMU -110 EMU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | CMU -7.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -5.1 (+5.9) | 151.9 (-12.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -4.8 (+6.2) | 147.1 (-8.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -4.2 (+6.8) | 150.2 (-11.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -4.8 (+6.2) | 151.0 (-12.0) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | EMU 66 – 54 CMU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | CMU 100 – 65 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | EMU 84 – 73 CMU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | CMU 82 – 63 EMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CMU 65 – 62 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-16 | 6-12 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 3-11 |
| Home | 5-6 | 5-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 80.4 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#277) | -11.2 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#288) | -1.70 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#276) | -2.17 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#322) | 0.405 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 62.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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