Betting Lines
| Spread | VMI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 171.5 Over |
| Money | VMI -163 CIT +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +7 | 213 | Won |
| Massey | VMI -2.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.8 (+40.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VMI -1.9 (+5.1) | 159.8 (+53.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VMI -2.7 (+4.3) | 167.9 (+45.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VMI -2.5 (+4.5) | 165.4 (+47.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VMI -1.6 (+5.4) | 165.5 (+47.5) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | CIT 80 – 56 VMI |
| Jan 18, 2026 | CIT 82 – 68 VMI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | VMI 73 – 62 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VMI 82 – 70 CIT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VMI 75 – 70 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-12 | 13-12 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 82.3 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#177) | -0.3 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#229) | 0.94 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#222) | 1.15 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#254) | 0.531 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 58.0% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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