Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | TULN +110 TEM +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +8 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -0.7 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -1.4 (-9.4) | 131.9 (-9.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -0.8 (-8.8) | 131.5 (-9.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -0.5 (-8.5) | 131.9 (-9.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -1.0 (-9.0) | 133.1 (-11.1) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | TEM 89 – 60 TULN |
| Feb 12, 2026 | TULN 77 – 66 TEM |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TEM 80 – 77 TULN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | TULN 92 – 80 TEM |
| Mar 5, 2023 | TULN 83 – 82 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-13 | 5-11 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 4-10 |
| Home | 6-6 | 3-5 |
| Away | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#187) | 2.1 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#135) | 0.83 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#144) | 1.58 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#143) | 0.546 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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