I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
America East Conference · Island FCU Arena · January 16, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread STBK -2.5 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Over
Money STBK -138 / UNH +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total STBK win
Actual UNH +17 145 Lost
Massey STBK -4.3 (-21.3) — —
Massey Totals — 137.7 (+7.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 78% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 82% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ STBK -2.7 (-19.7) 134.9 (+10.1) 58% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML STBK -4.0 (-21.0) 135.4 (+9.6) 71% ✗
Baseline ML STBK -3.0 (-20.0) 136.6 (+8.4) 63% ✗
Baseline Plus ML STBK -2.3 (-19.3) 139.0 (+6.0) 63% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2022 UNH 67 – 65 STBK
Jan 28, 2022 STBK 76 – 69 UNH
Jan 17, 2021 UNH 67 – 64 STBK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STBK UNH
Overall 9-14 10-9
Conference 7-9 9-6
Home 5-5 5-6
Away 4-8 5-3
Neutral 0-1 0-0
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 65.4 65.8
Avg Pts Against 66.8 67.3
Massey -3.1 (#214) -4.5 (#238)
Bradley-Terry -0.27 (#191) -0.99 (#249)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.29 (#186) -1.22 (#238)
RPI 0.498 (#171) 0.455 (#226)
Shooting & Four Factors STBK UNH
FG% 44.5% 38.3%
3PT% 33.1% 29.9%
REB / G 36.3 37.8
OREB / G 10.1 10.6
AST / TO 0.87 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.8% 43.5%
TOV% 21.0% 17.1%
ORB% 27.4% 27.2%
FT Rate 24.1% 21.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 20.7% 18.3%
DRB% 74.0% 81.0%
Opp FT Rate 19.4% 28.1%

Game Analysis

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