And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
America East Conference · Island FCU Arena · January 17, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread STBK -1.5 Away covered
O/U 131.5 Under
Money STBK -110 / UNH +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total STBK win
Actual UNH +3 131 Lost
Massey STBK -0.7 (-3.7) — —
Massey Totals — 139.3 (-8.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 59% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 55% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNH -0.2 (-2.8) 133.5 (-2.5) 45% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML STBK -1.4 (-4.4) 137.1 (-6.1) 58% ✗
Baseline ML STBK -1.5 (-4.5) 137.1 (-6.1) 55% ✗
Baseline Plus ML STBK -0.9 (-3.9) 139.3 (-8.3) 55% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2022 UNH 67 – 65 STBK
Jan 28, 2022 STBK 76 – 69 UNH
Jan 16, 2021 UNH 81 – 64 STBK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STBK UNH
Overall 9-14 10-9
Conference 7-9 9-6
Home 5-5 5-6
Away 4-8 5-3
Neutral 0-1 0-0
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 65.4 65.8
Avg Pts Against 66.8 67.3
Massey -4.9 (#247) -2.7 (#215)
Bradley-Terry -0.79 (#233) -0.62 (#215)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.06 (#236) -0.66 (#208)
RPI 0.468 (#213) 0.480 (#193)
Shooting & Four Factors STBK UNH
FG% 44.7% 39.3%
3PT% 33.5% 32.1%
REB / G 35.5 36.9
OREB / G 9.6 10.2
AST / TO 0.84 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 45.2%
TOV% 21.3% 17.0%
ORB% 26.7% 26.8%
FT Rate 25.2% 22.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.8% 49.5%
Opp TOV% 20.3% 19.0%
DRB% 74.2% 81.1%
Opp FT Rate 20.3% 29.0%

Game Analysis

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