Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
America East Conference · Lundholm Gymnasium · January 28, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread UNH -2.0 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money UNH -115 / STBK -105
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNH win
Actual STBK +7 145 Lost
Massey UNH -3.1 (-10.1) — —
Massey Totals — 140.6 (+4.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 20% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 15% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNH -1.3 (-8.3) 137.8 (+7.2) 54% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML UNH -0.5 (-7.5) 140.9 (+4.1) 52% ✗
Baseline ML UNH -1.1 (-8.1) 141.1 (+3.9) 50% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UNH -0.8 (-7.8) 140.8 (+4.2) 50% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2022 UNH 67 – 65 STBK
Jan 17, 2021 UNH 67 – 64 STBK
Jan 16, 2021 UNH 81 – 64 STBK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNH STBK
Overall 15-13 18-13
Conference 10-8 10-8
Home 10-4 13-4
Away 5-9 5-9
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 W2
Avg Pts For 66.7 72.5
Avg Pts Against 65.8 73.7
Massey -3.8 (#242) -3.5 (#236)
Bradley-Terry -1.43 (#289) 0.53 (#132)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.89 (#291) 0.47 (#137)
RPI 0.457 (#248) 0.521 (#132)
Shooting & Four Factors UNH STBK
FG% 42.7% 43.5%
3PT% 38.3% 34.0%
REB / G 34.8 33.7
OREB / G 9.5 9.3
AST / TO 1.33 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 50.3%
TOV% 14.1% 15.7%
ORB% 27.8% 25.5%
FT Rate 17.4% 18.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.3% 53.2%
Opp TOV% 13.6% 18.2%
DRB% 76.3% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 20.4% 14.7%

Game Analysis

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