Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MORG -275 COPP +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +20 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | MORG -18.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -16.2 (+3.8) | 150.5 (+13.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -15.3 (+4.7) | 157.4 (+6.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -16.7 (+3.3) | 153.3 (+10.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -16.5 (+3.5) | 151.0 (+13.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MORG 70 – 66 COPP |
| Jan 31, 2026 | MORG 89 – 80 COPP |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COPP 82 – 75 MORG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MORG 80 – 64 COPP |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORG 78 – 60 COPP |
Game Analysis
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