Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | BTLR +275 CREI -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -13.9 (+17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -11.7 (+15.7) | 138.3 (-2.3) | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -10.1 (+14.1) | 137.5 (-1.5) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -11.0 (+15.0) | 140.0 (-4.0) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -11.9 (+15.9) | 139.6 (-3.6) | 18% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CREI 76 – 59 BTLR |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CREI 89 – 85 BTLR |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CREI 87 – 74 BTLR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CREI 80 – 76 BTLR |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CREI 79 – 57 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 22-9 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 1-9 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#165) | 16.4 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#177) | 3.19 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#148) | 4.27 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#215) | 0.619 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 58.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 78.5% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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