Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | RID +210 SIE -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +9 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -9.6 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -6.2 (-2.8) | 138.7 (+8.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -7.3 (-1.7) | 135.8 (+11.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -7.1 (-1.9) | 139.1 (+7.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -6.4 (-2.6) | 139.1 (+7.9) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SIE 76 – 61 RID |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SIE 74 – 65 RID |
| Mar 11, 2025 | RID 78 – 76 SIE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RID 61 – 59 SIE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RID 91 – 50 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-17 | 12-5 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-4 |
| Home | 1-8 | 6-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#299) | 3.6 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#284) | 2.26 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#285) | 2.93 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#268) | 0.626 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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