Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | BING +240 UML -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +14 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | UML -4.4 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (+35.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -3.9 (-10.1) | 136.5 (+33.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -2.6 (-11.4) | 134.1 (+35.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -3.7 (-10.3) | 135.9 (+34.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -3.9 (-10.1) | 136.5 (+33.5) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UML 92 – 79 BING |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UML 73 – 68 BING |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UML 79 – 53 BING |
| Feb 6, 2025 | BING 66 – 54 UML |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UML 87 – 80 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-14 | 11-12 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 7-8 |
| Home | 1-9 | 3-4 |
| Away | 3-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#323) | -4.8 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.63 (#325) | -1.22 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.04 (#315) | -1.26 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.392 (#304) | 0.446 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.3% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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