Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
Horizon League · Calihan Hall · January 16, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread DETM -5.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money DETM -225 / GB +240
Model Predictions
Spread Total DETM win
Actual DETM +3 133 Won
Massey DETM -2.8 (+0.2) — —
Massey Totals — 154.1 (-21.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 25% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 26% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML DETM -1.1 (+1.9) 151.3 (-18.3) 56% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DETM -1.8 (+1.2) 151.6 (-18.6) 60% ✓
Baseline Plus ML DETM -1.3 (+1.7) 154.8 (-21.8) 63% ✓
Baseline ML DETM -1.4 (+1.6) 151.9 (-18.9) 58% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 DETM 74 – 70 GB
Feb 7, 2026 GB 76 – 63 DETM
Feb 28, 2025 GB 76 – 71 DETM
Feb 1, 2025 DETM 67 – 57 GB
Jan 27, 2024 GB 78 – 64 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DETM GB
Overall 12-10 8-17
Conference 10-6 8-12
Home 7-5 6-6
Away 5-5 2-11
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.5 71.6
Avg Pts Against 74.0 76.5
Massey -6.9 (#278) -6.9 (#276)
Bradley-Terry -2.92 (#333) -1.31 (#268)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.89 (#305) -1.29 (#246)
RPI 0.341 (#336) 0.453 (#227)
Shooting & Four Factors DETM GB
FG% 40.6% 42.3%
3PT% 31.0% 34.1%
REB / G 33.9 32.9
OREB / G 10.2 8.8
AST / TO 1.15 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.6% 48.0%
TOV% 16.2% 15.7%
ORB% 25.8% 23.8%
FT Rate 18.6% 19.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.6% 52.9%
Opp TOV% 18.9% 16.0%
DRB% 68.7% 70.0%
Opp FT Rate 19.0% 25.0%

Game Analysis

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