Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | DEN +450 ORU -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +9 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -13.9 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -12.3 (+3.3) | 154.9 (+18.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -10.7 (+1.7) | 156.1 (+16.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -12.8 (+3.8) | 156.2 (+16.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -13.0 (+4.0) | 155.3 (+17.7) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | ORU 102 – 80 DEN |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DEN 98 – 87 ORU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DEN 71 – 60 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | DEN 70 – 68 ORU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | ORU 82 – 76 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-19 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 10-5 |
| Home | 2-10 | 8-3 |
| Away | 0-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -15.5 (#337) | 1.2 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.54 (#343) | -0.58 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.18 (#341) | -0.11 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.297 (#344) | 0.508 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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