Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | CP +350 UCR -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +35 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -18.2 (-16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -12.1 (-22.9) | 131.0 (+6.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -13.1 (-21.9) | 130.6 (+6.4) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -11.9 (-23.1) | 130.6 (+6.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -13.4 (-21.6) | 131.8 (+5.2) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CP 94 – 87 UCR |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCR 88 – 84 CP |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CP 96 – 83 UCR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CP 112 – 100 UCR |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UCR 80 – 62 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-20 | 14-8 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 8-4 |
| Home | 3-8 | 5-4 |
| Away | 0-11 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.8 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 63.6 |
| Massey | -14.0 (#335) | 7.0 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#320) | 0.08 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.84 (#327) | 0.18 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.341 (#334) | 0.479 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 25.2% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.2% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 12.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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