Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–14 on winners spread MAE 8.8 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arizona State @ Oregon State -2.2 148.3 47% 79–80 ✗
Siena @ Rider -7.4 137.6 24% 74–72 ✓
McNeese @ LSU New Orleans +9.9 146.6 82% 84–99 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Milwaukee +4.2 148.1 67% 81–74 ✗
Cleveland State @ Wright State +7.0 135.6 73% 49–85 ✓
Bellarmine @ Florida Gulf Coast +0.3 131.9 43% 80–63 ✗
UTSA @ Louisiana Tech +9.2 148.2 81% 66–82 ✓
Utah Tech @ UT Rio Grande Valley +11.8 141.4 86% 65–72 ✓
Portland @ Pepperdine +7.5 156.7 83% 65–80 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal Poly -13.2 131.3 15% 70–53 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Incarnate Word -1.1 136.7 33% 83–65 ✓
Kansas State @ Texas +14.1 137.0 89% 67–82 ✓
Louisville @ Miami -4.1 131.2 41% 72–78 ✗
BYU @ San Francisco +0.7 139.5 48% 72–63 ✗
UC San Diego @ UC Santa Barbara +10.9 135.9 86% 53–84 ✓
North Dakota State @ North Dakota -5.3 127.0 27% 78–82 ✗
South Carolina @ LSU +8.8 151.3 83% 80–85 ✓
Grambling @ Texas Southern +6.8 136.7 72% 78–72 ✗
Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech +1.0 139.1 55% 71–74 ✓
Tarleton State @ California Baptist +5.1 141.1 68% 67–73 ✓
Washington State @ USC +14.0 143.3 88% 77–85 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's -10.8 147.0 18% 73–59 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton +0.1 144.2 44% 86–85 ✗
California @ Utah +9.1 130.9 83% 72–63 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Hawai'i +2.5 135.0 53% 83–72 ✗
Iowa @ Northwestern -8.1 157.4 26% 96–73 ✓
American University @ Navy — — — 59–71 —
UMass Lowell @ Binghamton -5.0 137.2 34% 77–67 ✓
Penn State @ Purdue +3.7 137.9 70% 72–80 ✓
Holy Cross @ Colgate +20.5 155.0 90% 87–96 ✓
Army @ Boston University -5.4 140.3 32% 76–65 ✓
Maine @ Vermont +14.0 124.7 87% 60–88 ✓
Hartford @ UMBC +2.9 132.8 58% 49–57 ✓
Hofstra @ Delaware -0.6 133.0 48% 68–67 ✓
Northeastern @ Charleston -1.9 128.1 41% 68–66 ✓
William & Mary @ Drexel +9.3 133.1 80% 69–64 ✗
UCF @ Houston +11.9 129.5 81% 58–75 ✓
Coppin State @ Morgan State +15.3 158.6 85% 89–79 ✗
New Hampshire @ Stony Brook -0.2 133.5 45% 67–64 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Marshall +4.3 147.1 66% 69–67 ✗
Massachusetts @ Fordham -13.2 139.4 15% 65–46 ✓
Memphis @ Tulsa +3.0 129.4 57% 57–58 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho State +0.7 126.6 39% 56–57 ✓
Indiana State @ Illinois State -5.1 136.0 28% 74–68 ✓
Evansville @ Bradley +8.9 128.6 80% 55–86 ✓
Fresno State @ Nevada +6.9 134.8 78% 65–79 ✓
Bucknell @ Lehigh +3.2 141.1 64% 77–61 ✗
Dayton @ George Washington -1.2 141.6 45% 67–54 ✓
Santa Clara @ San Diego -4.3 137.4 30% 69–63 ✓
Norfolk State @ Delaware State -8.3 145.7 21% 83–79 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Loyola Chicago +9.8 135.9 86% 46–88 ✓
NJIT @ UAlbany +2.1 136.8 64% 71–83 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Wake Forest -2.1 134.8 41% 64–60 ✓
Lafayette @ Loyola Maryland — — — 72–70 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.